Research Insights: Does Politics Trump the Ability of Having Successful Tax Reforms?
Date issued
August 2023
Subject
Taxation;
Tax Reform;
Value-Added Tax;
Income Tax;
Bank Crisis;
Elections;
Economy;
Political Economy;
Financial Crisis
JEL code
F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics;
H20 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General
Category
Catalogs and Brochures
The probability of tax reform is higher during banking crises. Tax reform is unlikely to occur during election periodseven if the government is facing financing problemsso reforms that seek to raise taxes should be avoided at those times. The ideology of the president does not explain which taxes are reformed, or how they are changed, but the presence of an IMF program does.