News Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium
Date issued
Jun 2011
Subject
Monetary Policy;
Financial Crisis and Structural Adjustement
JEL code
E32 - Business Fluctuations • Cycles;
F30 - International Finance: General;
F40 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General;
G11 - Portfolio Choice • Investment Decisions
Category
Working Papers
This paper studies equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy. As West (1998) shows, in a partial equilibrium present discounted value model, news about the future cash flow reduces asset price volatility. This paper shows that introducing news shocks in canonical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model may not reduce asset price volatility under plausible parameter assumptions. This is because, in general equilibrium, the asset cash flow itself may be affected by the introduction of new shocks. In addition, it is shown that neglecting to account for policy news shocks (e. g. , policy announcements) can potentially bias empirical estimates of the impact of monetary policy shocks on asset prices.