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dc.titleThe Growth-Interest Rate Cycle in the United States and its Consequences for Emerging Markets
dc.contributor.authorCalvo, Guillermo A.
dc.contributor.authorFernández-Arias, Eduardo
dc.contributor.authorTalvi, Ernesto
dc.contributor.authorReinhart, Carmen M.
dc.contributor.orgunitDepartment of Research and Chief Economist
dc.coverageThe Caribbean
dc.coverageCentral America
dc.coverageSouth America
dc.date.available2011-02-04T00:00:00
dc.date.issue2001-03-19T00:00:00
dc.description.abstractAt the time of writing there were widespread concerns about the health of the U.S. economy. There is conclusive evidence that the pace of growth has slowed, which has prompted the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates on two occasions (a total of 100 basis points thus far). As usual, when faced with this kind of turning point, analysts and policy makers alike wonder whether the United States will achieve a "soft landing" or whether the downturn is more serious and protracted in the worst scenario, the new weakness could signal the end of the new economy. Furthermore, recent inflation surprises have not been encouraging, as higher-than expected inflation numbers may curtail the Federal Reserve's desire and ability to act counter cyclically.
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0010799
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/The-Growth-Interest-Rate-Cycle-in-the-United-States-and-its-Consequences-for-Emerging-Markets.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.mediumAdobe PDF
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectEconomy
dc.subject.keywordsWP-458
dc.typeWorking Papers
idb.identifier.pubnumberWorking Papers
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