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dc.titleModeling Tropical Cyclone Risk While Accounting for Climate Change and Natural Infrastructure in the Caribbean
dc.contributor.authorArkema, Katie
dc.contributor.authorBailey, Allison
dc.contributor.authorGuerrero Compeán, Roberto
dc.contributor.authorMenéndez Fernandez, Pelayo
dc.contributor.authorReguero, Borja
dc.contributor.orgunitEnvironment, Rural Development and Risk Management Division
dc.date.available2023-06-30T00:06:00
dc.date.issue2023-06-30T00:06:00
dc.description.abstractThis chapter describes tools and a methodology to model wind and flood risks from tropical storms under present and future climate accounting for natural infrastructure. Wind forcing provide a crucial link to hydrodynamic models that can be used in risk assessments to estimate extent of and damages from flooding and erosion. Further, such flood risk models can then include the effects of ecosystems, such as mangroves, to model the effects on risk of conservation and restoration outcomes but also individual nature-based projects to reduce risks. The chapter describes hazard modeling techniques and presents simple applications to (1) assess the effect of climate change in the Caribbean, by estimating wind fields for tropical cyclones for present and future climate scenarios, (2) address the limited observations in hurricane data by using existing tools to derive synthetic storms and readily use them in coastal models, and (3) compare modeling approaches and datasets to provide recommendations for assessing flood attenuation of mangroves. The results and data developed in these applications is available with this chapter to be used in other local applications, or to infer damages from wind or in flood hazard models.
dc.format.extent40
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0004966
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/Modeling-Tropical-Cyclone-Risk-While-Accounting-for-Climate-Change-and-Natural-Infrastructure-in-the-Caribbean.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectEconomy
dc.subjectFlood Damage
dc.subjectHurricane
dc.subjectDisaster
dc.subjectDisaster Risk Management Indicators Program
dc.subjectFlood Damage Prevention
dc.subjectMangrove Ecosystems
dc.subjectClimate Change
dc.subjectRisk Management
dc.subjectInfrastructure Development
dc.subjectTechnical Cooperation
dc.subject.jelcodeC63 - Computational Techniques • Simulation Modeling
dc.subject.jelcodeQ20 - Renewable Resources and Conservation: General
dc.subject.jelcodeQ54 - Climate • Natural Disasters and Their Management • Global Warming
dc.subject.keywordsDisaster risk assessment;tropical cyclones;flood hazard modeling;mangroves
dc.typeWorking Papers
idb.identifier.pubnumberIDB-WP-01331
idb.operationRG-T3081
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