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dc.titleResearch Insights: Do Primary Commodity Prices Account for the Fluctuations of Exchange Rates?
dc.contributor.authorAyres, João
dc.contributor.orgunitDepartment of Research and Chief Economist
dc.date.available2022-12-07T00:12:00
dc.date.issue2022-12-07T00:12:00
dc.description.abstractWe explicitly derive a relationship between bilateral real exchange rates and primary commodity prices in a model that highlights the role of heterogeneity in production structures across countries. Fluctuations of just a few primary commodity prices account for between one third and one half of the volatility of the bilateral exchange rates of the United States against Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Once we calibrate our quantitative model with data from input-output matrices and shocks to generate the observed commodity price fluctuations, our model delivers the same volatility and persistence of real exchange rates as in the data.
dc.format.extent4
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0004605
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/Research-Insights-Do-Primary-Commodity-Prices-Account-for-the-Fluctuations-of-Exchange-Rates.pdf
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/spanish/document/Perspectivas-de-investigacion-los-precios-de-los-productos-basicos-explican-las-fluctuaciones-de-los-tipos-de-cambio.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectExchange Rate
dc.subjectCommodity Price
dc.subjectPublic Policy
dc.subjectRaw Material
dc.subjectEconomy
dc.subjectPetroleum
dc.subject.jelcodeF31 - Foreign Exchange
dc.subject.jelcodeF41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics
dc.subject.keywordsPrimary commodity prices;Real exchange rate disconnect puzzle
dc.typeCatalogs and Brochures
idb.identifier.pubnumberIDB-CB-00701
idb.operationBK-C1102
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