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dc.titleClimate Change Impacts on Agriculture in Latin America and the Caribbean: An Application of the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform
dc.contributor.authorBanerjee, Onil
dc.contributor.authorCicowiez, Martin
dc.contributor.authorRios, Ana R.
dc.contributor.authorLima, Cicero Z. de
dc.contributor.orgunitEnvironment, Rural Development and Risk Management Division
dc.date.available2021-11-16T00:00:00
dc.date.issue2021-11-16T00:00:00
dc.description.abstractIn this paper, we assess the economy-wide impact of Climate Change (CC) on agriculture and food security in 20 Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC) countries. Specifically, we focus on the following three channels through which CC may affect agricultural and non-agricultural production: (i) agricultural yields; (ii) labor productivity in agriculture, and; (iii) economy-wide labor productivity. We implement the analysis using the Integrated Economic-Environmental Model (IEEM) and databases for 20 LAC available through the OPEN IEEM Platform. Our analysis identifies those countries most affected according to key indicators including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), international commerce, sectoral output, poverty, and emissions. Most countries experience negative impacts on GDP, with the exception of the major soybean producing countries, namely, Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay. We find that CC-induced crop productivity and labor productivity changes affect countries differently. The combined impact, however, indicates that Belize, Nicaragua, Guatemala and Paraguay would fare the worst. Early identification of these hardest hit countries can enable policy makers pre-empting these effects and beginning the design of adaptation strategies early on. In terms of greenhouse gas emissions, only Argentina, Chile and Uruguay would experience small increases in emissions.
dc.format.extent41
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0003794
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/Climate-Change-Impacts-on-Agriculture-in-Latin-America-and-the-Caribbean-An-Application-of-the-Integrated-Economic-Environmental-Modeling-IEEM-Platform.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectAgriculture and Food Security
dc.subjectCrops
dc.subjectIEEM Platform
dc.subjectEconomy
dc.subjectLabor Productivity
dc.subjectLabor
dc.subject.jelcodeC68 - Computable General Equilibrium Models
dc.subject.jelcodeJ2 - Demand and Supply of Labor
dc.subject.jelcodeQ1 - Agriculture
dc.subject.jelcodeQ5 - Environmental Economics
dc.typeWorking Papers
idb.identifier.pubnumberIDB-WP-01289
idb.operationRG-E1603
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