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dc.titleLiquidity and Exchange Rates
dc.contributor.authorRossi, José Luiz
dc.contributor.orgunitCountry Department Southern Cone
dc.date.available2018-08-15T00:00:00
dc.date.issue2018-08-15T00:00:00
dc.description.abstractThis paper studies the predictive power of several proxies for liquidity in forecasting exchange rates for a set of countries from January 2001 to April 2013. The results indicate that changes in funding liquidity of U.S. financial intermediaries impact exchange rates around the globe; however, the type of funding and its relevance in explaining exchange rate movements vary across time. Public liquidity represented by U.S. monetary aggregates is not robustly significant in forecasting exchange rate changes across time, countries or forecasting horizons. By contrast, the long-term interest rate and risk taking indicators have robust in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power with respect to exchange rates.
dc.format.extent49
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0001274
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/Liquidity-and-Exchange-Rates.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.mediumAdobe PDF
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectMonetary Policy
dc.subjectForeign Exchange
dc.subjectExchange Rate
dc.subject.jelcodeF31 - Foreign Exchange
dc.subject.jelcodeF47 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
dc.typeDiscussion Papers
idb.identifier.pubnumberDiscussion Papers
idb.operationBR-P1203
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