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dc.titleRevelation of Expectations in Latin America (REVELA): Issue 65: August, 2016
dc.contributor.authorSosa, Mariano
dc.contributor.authorPowell, Andrew
dc.contributor.orgunitDepartment of Research and Chief Economist
dc.coverageGuatemala
dc.coverageParaguay
dc.coverageChile
dc.coverageUruguay
dc.coverageBrazil
dc.coveragePeru
dc.coverageMexico
dc.coverageColombia
dc.coverageLatin America
dc.date.available2016-11-02T00:00:00
dc.date.issue2016-10-28T00:00:00
dc.description.abstractThe July 2016 surveys of expectations conducted by Central Banks with inflation targeting regimes indicate that the simple average growth rate expected for 2016 for the eight countries covered by REVELA has decreased by 0. 1% from 1. 8% to 1. 7% compared to the previous month. The GDP weighted-average growth rate expected increased by 0. 1% from -0. 5% to -0. 4%. At the same time, inflation expectations increased by 0. 1% from 5. 3% to 5. 4% on a simple average basis, and remained stable at 5. 6% on a GDP weighted average basis. Growth expectations for 2016 rose by 0. 1% both in Brazil and Peru. They declined by 0. 4% in Guatemala and by 0. 1% both in Colombia and Mexico, while they remained constant in Paraguay at 3. 0%, Chile at 1. 7% and Uruguay at 0%. Expected growth for the region now ranges from -3. 3% in Brazil to 3. 4% in Guatemala. Inflation expectations for 2016 declined by 0. 2% in Peru and by 0. 1% both in Brazil and Guatemala, while they increased by 0. 3% in Colombia and Paraguay, and by 0. 1% in Mexico and Uruguay. Inflation expectations remained stable in Chile at 3. 5%. Inflation expectations for the region now range from 3. 2% in Mexico to 10. 3% in Uruguay.
dc.format.extent6
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0008143
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/Revelation-of-Expectations-in-Latin-America-(REVELA)-Issue-65-August-2016.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.mediumAdobe PDF
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectMarket Growth
dc.subjectInflation Targeting
dc.subjectGDP Growth
dc.subject.keywordsmarket growth;GDP weighted average;inflation;growth expectations
dc.typeMagazines, Journals and Newsletters
idb.identifier.pubnumberMagazines, Journals & Newsletters
idb.operationRG-K1089
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