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dc.titleCan Countries Rely on Foreign Saving for Investment and Economic Development?
dc.contributor.authorCavallo, Eduardo A.
dc.contributor.authorEichengreen, Barry
dc.contributor.authorPanizza, Ugo
dc.contributor.orgunitDepartment of Research and Chief Economist
dc.coverageAfrica
dc.coverageAsia
dc.coverageEurope
dc.coverageLatin America and the Caribbean
dc.date.available2016-08-09T00:00:00
dc.date.issue2016-08-08T00:00:00
dc.description.abstractA surprisingly large number of countries have been able to finance a significant fraction of domestic investment using foreign finance for extended periods. While many of these episodes are in low-income countries where official finance is more important than private finance, this paper also identifies a number of episodes where a substantial fraction of domestic investment was financed via private capital inflows. That said, foreign savings are not a good substitute for domestic savings, since more often than not episodes of large and persistent current account deficits do not end happily. Rather, they end abruptly with compression of the current account, real exchange rate depreciation, and a sharp slowdown in investment. Summing over the deficit episode and its aftermath, growth is slower than when countries rely on domestic savings. The paper concludes that financing growth and investment out of foreign savings, while not impossible, is risky.
dc.format.extent56
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011755
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/Can-Countries-Rely-on-Foreign-Saving-for-Investment-and-Economic-Development.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.mediumAdobe PDF
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectForeign Saving
dc.subjectSaving Rate
dc.subjectInvestment
dc.subjectGDP Growth
dc.subjectExport
dc.subjectExchange Rate
dc.subjectHuman Capital
dc.subject.jelcodeF32 - Current Account Adjustment • Short-Term Capital Movements
dc.subject.jelcodeO16 - Financial Markets • Saving and Capital Investment • Corporate Finance and Governance
dc.subject.keywordsForeign Saving;Domestic Investment
dc.typeWorking Papers
idb.identifier.pubnumberWorking Papers
idb.operationRG-K1089
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