Evidence in Labor Market Policies and Implications for Brazil: Future of Work

Technological changes such as automation, digitalization, and artificial intelligence are transforming labor markets worldwide. In Brazil, these transformations pose particular challenges due to the high share of workers in low-skilled occupations and persistent labor market inequalities. Studies estimate that more than 50 percent of jobs in the country are at risk of automation in the coming decades, especially those held by women and Black workers. This publication reviews recent evidence on how technology is reshaping employment and income, and highlights public policy strategies to reduce risks and expand opportunities. Based on rigorous impact evaluations, it discusses effective interventions such as job training aligned with labor market demand, responsible use of algorithms, remote work adoption, and innovative approaches to social protection for platform workers. The publication was produced in co-authorship by JOI Brazil, an initiative of J-PAL LAC, and the Inter-American Development Bank, and aims to inform the development of inclusive and evidence-based labor policies.