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dc.titleInattention or (Mis)Information? Explaining the Demand for Populist Anti-inflationary Policies
dc.contributor.authorKeefer, Philip
dc.contributor.authorRonconi, Lucas
dc.contributor.orgunitInstitutions for Development Sector
dc.coverageArgentina
dc.date.available2026-01-21T00:01:00
dc.date.issue2026-01-21T00:01:00
dc.description.abstractWhy are inefficient policies popular? One explanation is incomplete voter information. Evidence from survey experiments in Argentina points instead to inattention. The experiments explore voter evaluations of two anti-inflation policies, price controls and limits on monetary emission. Inattentive individuals should favor policies with simple, easily validated narratives, such as price controls; survey respondents considered price controls to be at least as effective in controlling inflation as limits to monetary emission. Two experimental treatments encouraged respondents to consider more complex policy narratives. Both increased respondent evaluations of the effectiveness of monetary policy relative to price controls. Inattention better accounts for these results: effects were independent of respondent knowledge and beliefs; larger for the evaluation of the more complex policy; and strongest for respondents who were more attentive to the survey. Treatment effects are also independent of the strength of partisan identity and ideological beliefs, indicating that these are low-cost cues for inattentive voters rather than signals of immutable beliefs regarding appropriate policies. The results underscore the role of attention in the spread of political narratives and their influence on voter behavior.
dc.format.extent50
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0013916
dc.identifier.urlhttps://publications.iadb.org/publications/english/document/Inattention-or-MisInformation-Explaining-the-Demand-for-Populist-Anti-inflationary-Policies.pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherInter-American Development Bank
dc.subjectInflation
dc.subjectVoting Behavior
dc.subjectRating
dc.subjectMonetary Policy
dc.subjectSmall Business
dc.subjectIntegration and Trade
dc.subject.jelcodeC90 - Design of Experiments: General
dc.subject.jelcodeD72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
dc.subject.jelcodeD80 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty: General
dc.subject.jelcodeD83 - Search • Learning • Information and Knowledge • Communication • Belief • Unawareness
dc.subject.jelcodeE71 - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy
dc.subject.jelcodeP30 - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: General
dc.subject.jelcodeP50 - Comparative Economic Systems: General
dc.subject.keywordsrational inattention;cognitive effort;attention allocation;Voter Behavior;Populism
dc.typeWorking Papers
idb.identifier.pubnumberIDB-WP-01774
idb.operationRG-E1852
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