Jun 2019
Author(s): Schmid, Juan Pedro; Wright, Allan; Bollers, Elton; Khadan, Jeetendra; Smets, Lodewijk; Mooney, Henry; Giles Álvarez, Laura; Waithe, Kimberly; Deyal, Zubin; Gauto, Victor; Christie, Jason
The Year 2019 and Beyond
• Following the recent strong performance of the global economy, forecasts are slightly less optimistic for the future. In addition, downside risks have increased and…
Apr 2019
Author(s): Ayres, João; García, Marcio; Guillen, Diogo; Kehoe, Patrick
Brazil has had a long period of high inflation. It peaked around 100 percent per year in 1964, decreased until the first oil shock (1973), but accelerated again afterward, reaching levels above 100…
Feb 2019
Author(s): Garcimartín, Carlos; Astudillo, Jhonatan A.
El propósito de este documento es analizar el impacto de la inflación en la distribución del ingreso a través de la composición del gasto de los hogares. A diferencia de otros análisis enfocados en…
Jul 2018
Author(s): Alonso, Pablo
The establishment of the inflation targeting regime in Paraguay is relatively recent, however, the results have been satisfactory. This is because based on the observed data, from the implementation…
Jul 2018
Author(s): Libonatti, Luis
This paper presents a forecasting exercise that assesses the predictive potential of a daily price index based on online prices. Prices are compiled using web scrapping services provided by the…
Jul 2018
Author(s): Zárate, Héctor; Zapata-Sanabria, Daniel R.
The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we evaluate the responses to the questions on inflation expectations in the World Economic Survey for sixteen inflation targeting countries. Second, we…
Jul 2018
Author(s): Castañeda-Fuentes, Juan Carlos; Valle-Samayoa, Héctor Augusto; Catalán-Herrera, Juan Carlos; Arriaza-Herrera, Juan Carlos; Gutiérrez-Morales, José; Castillo-Maldonado, Carlos Eduardo; Galindo-Gonzáles, Douglas Napoleón; Hurtarte-Aguilar, Guisela; Ortiz-Cardona, Edson Roger
Forecasting the inflation path is an important task for central banks in an inflation targeting regime. Therefore, central banks must continuously evaluate the forecasting accuracy of the models used…
Jun 2018
Author(s): Schmid, Juan Pedro; Wright, Allan; Bollers, Elton; Khadan, Jeetendra; Smets, Lodewijk; Mooney, Henry; Giles Álvarez, Laura; Schwartz, Moises; Waithe, Kimberly
The year 2017 brought mixed results for the countries of the Caribbean Country Department of the Inter-American Development Bank, and the situation remains similar in 2018. While The Bahamas,…
Jun 2018
Author(s): Garegnani, Lorena; Gómez Aguirre, Maximiliano
In 2016 the Central Bank of Argentina began to announce inflation targets. In this context, providing authorities with good estimates of relevant macroeconomic variables is crucial for making…
Jun 2018
Author(s): Fuertes, Alberto; Gimeno, Ricardo; Marqués, José Manuel
In this paper we estimate inflation expectations for several Latin American countries using an affine model that takes as factors the observed inflation and the parameters generated from zero-coupon…
Apr 2018
Author(s): Mora Barrenechea, Mauricio; Heredia Gómez, Juan Carlos; Zeballos Coria, David
This paper analyzes the time-varying degree of inflation expectations anchoring in Bolivia and, more precisely, whether inflation expectations have been in line with the inflation objectives…
Apr 2018
Author(s): Finkelstein-Shapiro, Alan; González Gómez, Andrés; Nuguer, Victoria; Roldán-Peña, Jessica
We use a novel dataset that merges goods-level prices underlying the CPI in Mexico with the balance sheet information of Mexican publicly listed firms and study the connection between firms'…
Aug 2017
Author(s): Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martin; Moreda, Adela
There is a debate in the literature on the appropriate methods and metrics for evaluating the economic impacts of tourism investments. Available analytical techniques include input-output modelling,…
Oct 2016
Author(s): Corral, Leonardo; Schling, Maja; Rogers, Cassandra; Cumberbatch, Janice; Hinds, Fabian; Zhou, Naijun; Lemay, Michele H.
This paper presents the first rigorous impact evaluation of a shoreline stabilization program in Barbados and attempts to assess whether shoreline stabilization investments indeed have beneficial…
Mar 2016
Author(s): Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID); Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL)
Este estudio aborda cómo el cambio climático afectaría la actividad económica nacional, evaluando las potenciales modificaciones en la disponibilidad de los recursos naturales y las actividades…
Mar 2016
Author(s): Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID); Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL)
Este estudio aborda cómo el cambio climático afectaría la actividad económica nacional, evaluando las potenciales modificaciones en la disponibilidad de los recursos naturales y las actividades…
Mar 2016
Author(s): Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID); Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL)
El objetivo del estudio es establecer los costos económicos del cambio climático sobre la oferta y demanda del turismo en el Perú. Se considera que el principal tipo de turismo es el arqueológico y…
May 2013
Author(s): Espinoza, Guillermo
El propósito de esta nota técnica es reseñar el marco conceptual y metodológico de la EASE y presentar los resultados obtenidos en la aplicación de esa herramienta de planificación en el Grupo 2 de…
Jan 2013
Author(s): Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
Between 1992 and 2012, the IDB Group approved 120 operations for Belize for a total of US$ 221 million. This publication provides some examples of the Bank's support to Belize, capturing…
Dec 2011
Author(s): Garrido, Celso
En este trabajo se aborda, desde una perspectiva estratégica y global, el análisis de las tendencias y los desafíos de competitividad e innovación para los sectores de telecomunicaciones y turismo en…