TY - GEN AU - Colacito, Riccardo AU - Hoffmann, Bridget AU - Phan, Toan TI - Temperature and Growth: A Panel Analysis of the United States PY - 2016 Y1 - 2016/05/24 DO - 10.18235/0011736 AB - This paper documents that seasonal temperatures have significant and systematic effects on the U.S. economy, both at the aggregate level and across a wide crosssection of economic sectors. This effect is particularly strong for the summer: an increase of 1°F in the average summer temperature is associated with a reduction in the annual growth rate of state-level output of 0:15 to 0:25 percentage points. When these estimates are combined with projected increases in seasonal temperatures it is found that a reduction of U.S. economic growth by up to one third could occur over the next century. UR - https://doi.org/10.18235/0011736 ER -