TY  - GEN
AU  - Rodriguez, Diego
AU  - Gonzalez, Andres
AU  - Fernandez, Andres
TI  - Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster: Common Factors in Business Cycles of Emerging Economies
PY  - 2016
Y1  - 2016/01/13
DO  - 10.18235/0011716
AB  - Fluctuations in commodity prices are an important driver of business cycles in small emerging market economies (EMEs).  This paper documents how these fluctuations correlate strongly with the business cycle in EMEs.  A commodity sector is then embedded into a multi-country EMEs business cycle model where exogenous fluctuations in commodity prices follow a common dynamic factor structure and coexist with other driving forces.  The estimated model assigns to commodity shocks 42 percent of the variance in income, of which a considerable part is linked to the common factor.  A further amplification mechanism is a spillover effect from commodity prices to risk premia.
UR  - https://doi.org/10.18235/0011716
ER  -